Market Guides

AUD/USD: What Moves the Aussie

AUD/USD: What Moves the Aussie - MarketsAll Market Guides cover

AUD/USD is the price of one Australian dollar in US dollars. Known as the “Aussie”, it behaves like a gauge of global growth: it tends to rise when commodity prices, Chinese demand and risk appetite are strong, and to fall when they weaken. Reserve Bank of Australia and Federal Reserve policy set the background.

Key takeaways

  • The Australian dollar accounts for about 6% of global currency trading (BIS, April 2025), large for an economy of Australia’s size.
  • Iron ore, coal and natural gas dominate Australia’s exports and China is its largest customer, so Chinese data often moves the Aussie more than Australian data.
  • The pair is busiest in Asia-Pacific hours. The Reserve Bank of Australia announces decisions at 14:30 Sydney time.
  • One pip is 0.0001 and is worth $10 on a standard lot.
  • The Aussie tends to fall quickly when markets turn risk-averse, and it is among the first currencies to trade after the weekend.
AUD/USD at a glance
What the quote meansUS dollars needed to buy one Australian dollar
Base / quote currencyAustralian dollar (AUD) / US dollar (USD)
NicknameAussie
AUD share of FX turnoverAbout 6% of trades (BIS, April 2025)
Pip0.0001, the fourth decimal place
Pip value, 1.00 lot$10
Contract size, 1.00 lot100,000 AUD
Most active windowAsia-Pacific morning, roughly 00:00–06:00 UTC, then US data
Central banks to watchReserve Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve
Symbol at MarketsallAUDUSD

What is AUD/USD and how is it quoted?

The Australian dollar is the base currency, so a price of 0.6500 means one Australian dollar costs 65 US cents. A rising chart means a stronger Aussie or a weaker US dollar. Because the price is well below 1, a standard lot is worth fewer US dollars than a lot of EUR/USD, which matters for margin, as the example below shows. For the basics, see what forex trading is and major, minor and exotic pairs.

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Original illustration. AUD/USD compares the value of two currencies.

What moves AUD/USD?

The five drivers of AUD/USD
DriverHow it tends to workWhat to watch
Commodity pricesAustralia is a major exporter of iron ore, coal and liquefied natural gas. Higher prices improve its trade balance and tend to support the currency.Iron ore, coal and LNG prices, how the US dollar affects commodities
ChinaChina buys the largest share of Australian exports. Signs of stronger or weaker Chinese demand feed straight into the Aussie.China PMIs, property and stimulus news
Interest rate expectationsThe gap between Reserve Bank of Australia and Fed expectations works as it does for every pair.RBA decisions, Australian CPI and jobs, FOMC meetings
Risk sentimentThe Aussie is a classic risk-on currency. It tends to rise with equities and fall when investors seek safety.Equity indices, volatility, risk-on vs risk-off
US dataThe dollar side still matters. Strong US data that lifts the dollar pushes AUD/USD lower.US CPI, Non-Farm Payrolls

These drivers often point the same way. Strong global growth lifts commodity prices, Chinese demand and risk appetite together, which is why the Aussie can trend for months. It is also why it falls hard when the cycle turns.

When is AUD/USD most active?

Asia-Pacific morning 00–06 0006121824 UTC Sydney 21–06 Tokyo 00–09 London 07–16 New York 12–21
Approximate session hours in UTC. Australian and Chinese data are released in this window. A second burst of activity comes with US data from 12:30 UTC.
Scheduled events that regularly move AUD/USD
EventLocal timeUTCFrequency
RBA rate decision14:30 Sydney03:30 (Oct–Apr) / 04:30 (Apr–Oct)Eight times a year
Australian jobs data11:30 Sydney00:30 / 01:30Monthly
Australian CPI11:30 Sydney00:30 / 01:30Monthly
China official PMIs09:30 Beijing01:30Monthly
US CPI and Non-Farm Payrolls08:30 ET12:30 summer / 13:30 winterMonthly

Australia’s clocks move in the opposite direction to Europe’s and North America’s, so the UTC times above shift twice a year. Full details are in global market trading hours. Track releases in the economic calendar.

Tends to pushAUD/USD upRising metal and coal pricesStronger Chinese demandRBA tighter than the FedRisk appetiteTends to pushAUD/USD downFalling commodity pricesWeak Chinese dataFed tighter than expectedMarket stress
Tendencies, not rules.

AUD/USD pip value and position size

What one pip is worth in AUD/USD
Lot sizeUnitsValue of 1 pipValue of a 50-pip move
1.00 (standard)100,000 AUD$10.00$500
0.10 (mini)10,000 AUD$1.00$50
0.01 (micro)1,000 AUD$0.10$5

Suppose AUD/USD is at 0.6500 (an illustrative price) and you open 0.10 lots. The position is worth A$10,000, or $6,500. At 1:200 leverage the margin is only $32.50. The pip value is still $1, so a 50-pip move against you costs $50, about one and a half times the margin. A low price makes the margin look small; it does not make the position small. Size the trade with position sizing.

AUD/USD vs NZD/USD vs USD/CAD

The three commodity currencies compared
FeatureAUD/USDNZD/USDUSD/CAD
Key exportsIron ore, coal, natural gasDairy, meatCrude oil, natural gas
Main outside influenceChinaChina and AustraliaUnited States
Dollar position in the quoteQuote currency: commodity strength lifts the priceQuote currencyBase currency: commodity strength lowers the price
Pip value per 1.00 lot$10, fixed$10, fixed10 Canadian dollars, varies in US dollars
Central bankReserve Bank of AustraliaReserve Bank of New ZealandBank of Canada
Read moreThis guideNZD/USD guideUSD/CAD guide

AUD/USD and NZD/USD usually move together, so holding both in the same direction doubles one view rather than adding a second. See correlated positions.

What it costs to trade AUD/USD as a CFD

At Marketsall AUD/USD is traded as a CFD: no currency is delivered and your account is credited or debited with the price difference. See what a CFD is and spot FX vs CFDs.

Cost components
CostWhen it appliesNote for AUD/USD
SpreadEvery trade, at entryTightest in Asia-Pacific and London hours, wider late in the New York evening
CommissionNot charged on currency trades at MarketsallCost is built into the spread
SwapPositions held past the daily rolloverDepends on the gap between Australian and US rates and on your direction. See triple swap Wednesday.
SlippageFast markets, gaps, newsMost likely around RBA decisions, Chinese data surprises and US releases

Key risks

Growth shocks. Bad news on China or commodities can move the Aussie more than any Australian release.

Risk-off moves. The pair can fall quickly when equities sell off.

Weekend gaps. Asia-Pacific markets open first after the weekend, so gaps show up here early. See holding trades over the weekend.

Leverage. A low price means low margin per lot, which makes oversizing easy.

Risk warning. Trading CFDs carries a high level of risk since leverage can work both to your advantage and disadvantage. As a result, the products offered on this website may not be suitable for all investors because of the risk of losing all of your invested capital. You should never invest money that you cannot afford to lose, and never trade with borrowed money.

Frequently asked questions

Why is the Australian dollar called a commodity currency?

Raw materials such as iron ore, coal and natural gas make up a large share of Australia’s exports. When their prices rise, Australia earns more from trade and demand for its currency tends to increase. When they fall, the opposite happens, so AUD/USD often moves with commodity prices.

How much is one pip worth in AUD/USD?

One pip is 0.0001. On a standard lot of 100,000 Australian dollars a pip is worth $10, on a mini lot $1 and on a micro lot $0.10. The value is fixed in US dollars because the US dollar is the quote currency.

How does China affect AUD/USD?

China is the largest buyer of Australian exports, especially iron ore. Stronger Chinese growth, construction or stimulus tends to lift demand for those exports and support the Australian dollar. Weak Chinese data tends to weigh on it, often more than Australian data does.

When is AUD/USD most active?

AUD/USD is most active in the Asia-Pacific morning, roughly 00:00 to 06:00 UTC, when Australian and Chinese data are released and the Reserve Bank of Australia announces decisions. A second active period follows US data releases from 12:30 UTC in summer or 13:30 UTC in winter.

Why does AUD/USD fall when markets are nervous?

Investors treat the Australian dollar as a growth-sensitive currency and the US dollar as a safe haven. When markets are stressed, money moves out of growth-linked assets and into dollars, which pushes AUD/USD lower even if nothing has changed in Australia.

Learn to read China's PMIs

China's official PMIs are released at 01:30 UTC, in the middle of the Aussie's most active hours. PMI surveys: why traders watch them explains what the 50 line means and which sub-indices traders check first.

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