Trading Signals - 11 November 2026

24 trade ideas for 11 November 2026: 6 long and 18 short. Entry, stop and two targets are given for each, with the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

Today's framework

Wednesday 11 November 2026. Core inflation came in at 0.3% and a 50 basis point rise is on the table; the two-year US yield jumped 18 basis points and the dollar is strong across the board. Nvidia has lost 430 billion dollars in two days and its market value has fallen to 4.07 trillion, the lowest since the end of March. SoftBank's 7 billion dollar loss points at the same link: it comes from data centre build costs and from a change in the supply plans for power generation equipment.

Six of the ideas are long and eighteen short. Six are taken at the market and six on a pullback; the rest wait for an upward reaction before the sell is taken. The buy side is the large caps that held up, the DAX and the dollar.

Trade ideas

Entry is given as a band, or as the single level a conditional idea needs. The note under the table gives the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

• 1. BTC — short. At 73,804 dollars and a 1.16% fall yesterday took it to 72,727; the price is making successively lower highs and lower lows and sits below the 200-day average by 2.8%. The threshold is clear: two consecutive closes below that average would mean the long-term structure breaks too. Over the past month it is slightly behind the market and momentum is 34. Action: sell in the 73,804-74,035 band, target 72,542. Invalidated if: A close above 75,526.
• 2. ETH — short. At 2,065.18 dollars and a 2.51% fall yesterday took it to 2,006; the price is in a falling high-low structure and sits below the 200-day average by 9.8%. The monthly loss is 18.60% and momentum at 30 is close to oversold. It keeps falling harder than bitcoin. Action: sell in the 2,065-2,073 band, target 2,010. Invalidated if: A close above 2,140.
• 3. XRP — short. At 1.0584 dollars with the trend down in every time frame; a 3.76% fall yesterday took it to 1.0311 and the price sits below the 200-day average by 20.4%. The monthly loss is 24.95% and over the past month it is 11.8% behind bitcoin. Momentum at 24 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell in the 1.0584-1.0652 band, target 1.0255. Invalidated if: A close above 1.1037.
• 4. SOL — short. At 83.01 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 25.45% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 13.3%. It fell 3.49% yesterday and momentum at 24 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 83.40-84.07 band, target 80.93. Invalidated if: A close above 86.87.
• 5. ADA — short. At 0.1749 dollars with the trend down in every time frame; the monthly loss is 30.68% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 20.9%. Over the past month it is 12.1% behind bitcoin and momentum is 31. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 0.1750-0.1768 band, target 0.1686. Invalidated if: A close above 0.1842.
• 6. AMZN — long. At 270.87 dollars with the trend up in every time frame; over the past month it returned 8.7% more than the market and the weekly gain is 8.05%. It rose 1.48% yesterday and momentum is 62. The price sits above the 200-day average by 9.7% and is only 5.7% below its one-year high. Action: buy on a pullback into the 267.55-268.97 band, target 274.19. Invalidated if: A close below 261.63.
• 7. AAPL — long. At 348.51 dollars with the trend up; over the past month it is 6% ahead of the market and only 1.9% below its one-year high. It pulled back 0.62% yesterday, which improved the entry. Momentum is 56 and the price sits above the 200-day average by 14%. Action: buy on a pullback into the 345.45-346.76 band, target 351.57. Invalidated if: A close below 339.98.
• 8. TSLA — long. At 379.78 dollars and over the past month it is 5% ahead of the market; it rose 0.46% yesterday and momentum is 51. The price is on the 200-day average and the structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy on a pullback into the 373.94-376.45 band, target 385.62. Invalidated if: A close below 363.52.
• 9. DAX — long. At 26,347.45 with the trend up in every time frame; it is only 1.3% below its one-year high and momentum is 60. It rose 0.31% yesterday and the weekly gain is 1.87%. The price sits above the 200-day average by 5.1%. Action: buy on a pullback into the 26,215-26,272 band, target 26,480. Invalidated if: A close below 25,978.
• 10. USDCHF — long. At 0.8267 with the trend up in every time frame; it rose 0.87% yesterday and the weekly gain is 1.01%. Momentum is 45 and the price is only 1.5% below its one-year high. Core inflation coming in above expectations and a 50 basis point rise coming onto the table support the dollar. Action: buy on a pullback into the 0.8244-0.8254 band, target 0.8290. Invalidated if: A close below 0.8204.
• 11. USDCAD — long. At 1.4207 with the trend up; it rose 0.62% yesterday and the weekly gain is 1.60%. The price is only 0.6% below its one-year high and momentum is 57. The strength on the dollar side and the weakness in oil work the same way. Action: buy on a pullback into the 1.4180-1.4192 band, target 1.4234. Invalidated if: A close below 1.4132.
• 12. NVDA — short. At 168.89 dollars and it has lost 430 billion dollars in two days; a further 5.47% fall yesterday took its market value down to 4.07 trillion dollars, the lowest since the end of March. The price is in a falling high-low structure and sits below the 200-day average by 17.4%. But momentum at 24 is at the deepest end of oversold, and HSBC's point matters: the stock trades at 13 times expected earnings, close to a record low, so the valuation now offers support. The size is small for that reason. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 170.63-171.93 band, target 165.85. Invalidated if: A close above 177.37.
• 13. GOOGL — short. At 287.38 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 15.7% behind the market and the price sits below the 200-day average by 12%. The monthly loss is 18.52% and momentum is 33. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 289.47-291.03 band, target 283.73. Invalidated if: A close above 297.55.
• 14. META — short. At 641.39 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 12.7% behind the market and the monthly loss is 13.67%. It was flat yesterday and momentum is 47. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 646.21-649.83 band, target 632.95. Invalidated if: A close above 664.90.
• 15. ASML — short. At 1,507.85 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 8.8% behind the market and the monthly loss is 13.74%. It fell 0.36% yesterday and momentum is 43. SoftBank's 7 billion dollar loss bears on exactly this link: the loss comes from data centre build costs and from a change in the supply plans for power generation equipment. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,522-1,532 band, target 1,484. Invalidated if: A close above 1,575.
• 16. AMD — short. At 515.21 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 11.7% behind the market and the monthly loss is 13.30%. It rose 1.30% yesterday and its daily range is very high at 7.59%, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 523.03-528.90 band, target 501.52. Invalidated if: A close above 553.34.
• 17. Gold — short. At 4,064.40 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the price sits below the 200-day average by 5%. Momentum is 44 and it rose 0.85% yesterday. Core inflation coming in at 0.3% and a 50 basis point rise coming onto the table work against gold. Action: sell in the 4,064-4,074 band, target 4,014. Invalidated if: A close above 4,133.
• 18. Silver — short. At 52.92 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and it is 56.4% below its one-year high. It rose 3.56% yesterday, which created a better level for the sell. Momentum is 37. Action: sell in the 52.92-53.07 band, target 52.10. Invalidated if: A close above 54.04.
• 19. Platinum — short. At 1,573.20 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and it is 44.9% below its one-year high. It rose 2.23% yesterday and momentum is 45. Action: sell in the 1,573-1,578 band, target 1,555. Invalidated if: A close above 1,599.
• 20. Palladium — short. At 1,049 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and it is 51.7% below its one-year high. It rose 3.01% yesterday and the weekly gain is 12.80%; the recovery offers a better level for the sell. Momentum is 41. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,051-1,054 band, target 1,039. Invalidated if: A close above 1,068.
• 21. Coffee — short. At 266.75 cents with the trend down in every time frame; the price sits below the 200-day average by 14.5% and the monthly loss is 8.21%. It fell 1.71% yesterday and momentum is 34. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 268.63-270.05 band, target 263.45. Invalidated if: A close above 275.93.
• 22. EURUSD — short. At 1.1158 and it fell 0.57% yesterday; the trend is down in every time frame and momentum is 48. The two-year US yield jumped 18 basis points and that supports the dollar. Lagarde takes part in a panel in Paris today. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1.1162-1.1173 band, target 1.1124. Invalidated if: A close above 1.1217.
• 23. GBPUSD — short. At 1.3337 and a 0.78% fall yesterday took it to 1.3314; the trend is down and momentum is 57. The price has moved just below the 200-day average. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1.3343-1.3356 band, target 1.3297. Invalidated if: A close above 1.3409.
• 24. CHFJPY — short. At 192.14 with the trend down in every time frame; it fell 0.32% yesterday and momentum is 57. The price sits below the 200-day average by 1.4%. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 192.30-192.49 band, target 191.63. Invalidated if: A close above 193.26.

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