23 trade ideas for 9 November 2026: 5 long and 18 short. Entry, stop and two targets are given for each, with the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.
Today's framework
Monday 9 November 2026. Asian markets rebounded sharply but crypto went the other way, and the cause is regulation rather than macro: Blumenthal has asked crypto companies for documents, with 30 November set for the response and 4 January for compliance. On the macro side, Friday's payrolls figure of 165 thousand lifted the odds of a December rate rise to 80% and the dollar had its biggest daily gain in five months.
Five of the ideas are long and eighteen short. One is taken at the market and four on a pullback; the rest wait for an upward reaction before the sell is taken. The buy side is the large caps that held up, the DAX and the dollar against the Canadian dollar.
Trade ideas
Entry is given as a band, or as the single level a conditional idea needs. The note under the table gives the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.
| No | Instrument | Direction | Entry | Stop | Target 1 | Target 2 | Entry condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cryptocurrencies | |||||||
| 1 | BTC | Short | 74,802 – 75,143 | 76,565 | 73,551 | 72,299 | On an upward reaction · small size |
| 2 | ETH | Short | 2,142 – 2,157 | 2,219 | 2,087 | 2,033 | On an upward reaction |
| 3 | XRP | Short | 1.1065 – 1.1153 | 1.1517 | 1.0745 | 1.0425 | On an upward reaction |
| 4 | SOL | Short | 87.25 – 87.92 | 90.74 | 84.78 | 82.3 | On an upward reaction · small size |
| 5 | AVAX | Short | 8.0115 – 8.0906 | 8.4201 | 7.7214 | 7.4314 | On an upward reaction |
| 6 | ADA | Short | 0.1763 – 0.1780 | 0.1854 | 0.1698 | 0.1633 | On an upward reaction |
| Stocks | |||||||
| 7 | AAPL | Long | 339.30 – 340.62 | 333.82 | 345.44 | 350.26 | On a pullback · small size |
| 8 | AMZN | Long | 256.09 – 257.46 | 250.35 | 262.51 | 267.56 | On a pullback · small size |
| 9 | MSFT | Long | 525.21 – 527.52 | 515.56 | 536.01 | 544.51 | On a pullback · small size |
| Indices | |||||||
| 10 | DAX | Long | 25,690 – 25,746 | 25,458 | 25,950 | 26,155 | On a pullback |
| Currencies | |||||||
| 11 | USDCAD | Long | 1.4095 – 1.4100 | 1.4048 | 1.4139 | 1.4178 | Market · small size |
| Stocks | |||||||
| 12 | NVDA | Short | 188.19 – 189.36 | 194.21 | 183.92 | 179.65 | On an upward reaction · small size |
| 13 | ASML | Short | 1,438 – 1,449 | 1,491 | 1,401 | 1,363 | On an upward reaction |
| 14 | AMD | Short | 456.36 – 461.85 | 484.72 | 436.23 | 416.1 | On an upward reaction · small size |
| 15 | GOOGL | Short | 286.92 – 288.52 | 295.19 | 281.04 | 275.17 | On an upward reaction |
| 16 | META | Short | 614.98 – 618.61 | 633.71 | 601.69 | 588.4 | On an upward reaction |
| 17 | TSM | Short | 378.81 – 381.34 | 391.88 | 369.54 | 360.27 | On an upward reaction |
| Commodities | |||||||
| 18 | Silver | Short | 53.09 – 53.32 | 54.24 | 52.28 | 51.47 | On an upward reaction |
| 19 | Platinum | Short | 1,557 – 1,562 | 1,583 | 1,538 | 1,520 | On an upward reaction |
| 20 | Palladium | Short | 1,042 – 1,046 | 1,061 | 1,028 | 1,014 | On an upward reaction |
| 21 | Gold | Short | 4,130 – 4,143 | 4,198 | 4,082 | 4,033 | On an upward reaction |
| 22 | Copper | Short | 6.3465 – 6.3625 | 6.4294 | 6.2876 | 6.2288 | On an upward reaction |
| 23 | Coffee | Short | 282.17 – 283.68 | 289.98 | 276.62 | 271.07 | On an upward reaction |
- 1. BTC — short. At 74,347 dollars after touching 73,510 on Sunday night, a two-month low; the price is making successively lower highs and lower lows and sits below the 200-day average by 2.1%. With Asian markets rebounding sharply, crypto's divergence comes from regulation rather than macro: Blumenthal has asked crypto companies for documents, with 30 November set for the response and 4 January for compliance. So the calendar in front of crypto is different from the equity one, and longer. Staying 5% ahead of the market over the past month shows the relative resilience, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 74,802-75,143 band, target 73,551. Invalidated if: A close above 76,565.
- 2. ETH — short. At 2,121.93 dollars and a 5.08% fall yesterday took it to 2,060; it is at its lowest since mid-August and the price sits below the 200-day average by 7.5%. The monthly loss is 14.70% and momentum is 33. The same regulatory calendar applies to ether. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 2,142-2,157 band, target 2,087. Invalidated if: A close above 2,219.
- 3. XRP — short. At 1.0949 dollars and with a 6.02% fall yesterday it was the worst in crypto; the trend is down in every time frame and the price sits below the 200-day average by 17.8%. The monthly loss is 21.56% and momentum is 28. Ripple executives are among those who received Blumenthal's letter. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1.1065-1.1153 band, target 1.0745. Invalidated if: A close above 1.1517.
- 4. SOL — short. At 86.35 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 20.87% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 9.9%. Momentum at 27 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 87.25-87.92 band, target 84.78. Invalidated if: A close above 90.74.
- 5. AVAX — short. At 7.906 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 23.50% and it has dropped below 8 dollars. The price sits below the 200-day average by 9.3% and momentum is 34. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 8.0115-8.0906 band, target 7.7214. Invalidated if: A close above 8.4201.
- 6. ADA — short. At 0.1739 dollars with the trend down in every time frame; the monthly loss is 28.47% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 21.3%. Over the past month it is 12% behind bitcoin and momentum is 30. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 0.1763-0.1780 band, target 0.1698. Invalidated if: A close above 0.1854.
- 7. AAPL — long. At 342.37 dollars with the trend up in every time frame; over the past month it returned 7.7% more than the market and the price sits above the 200-day average by 12.3%. It fell only 0.52% on Friday and momentum is 51. The structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy on a pullback into the 339.30-340.62 band, target 345.44. Invalidated if: A close below 333.82.
- 8. AMZN — long. At 259.30 dollars with the trend up; the weekly gain is 7.88% and over the past month it is 4.6% ahead of the market. The price sits above the 200-day average by 5.2% and momentum is 54. The structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy on a pullback into the 256.09-257.46 band, target 262.51. Invalidated if: A close below 250.35.
- 9. MSFT — long. At 530.61 dollars with the trend up; over the past month it is 5% ahead of the market and the weekly gain is 1.67%. The price sits above the 200-day average by 13.7% and momentum is 52. The structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy on a pullback into the 525.21-527.52 band, target 536.01. Invalidated if: A close below 515.56. It is not traded on MT5.
- 10. DAX — long. At 25,820.36 with the trend up in every time frame; the price sits above the 200-day average by 3.1% and momentum is 52. It fell 1.92% on Friday but the weekly change is flat. Action: buy on a pullback into the 25,690-25,746 band, target 25,950. Invalidated if: A close below 25,458.
- 11. USDCAD — long. At 1.4100 with the trend up in every time frame; it rose 0.59% on Friday and momentum is 45. The weakness in oil works against the Canadian dollar and the dollar is strong. The two factors point the same way but the structure has not confirmed yet. Action: small buy in the 1.4095-1.4100 band, target 1.4139. Invalidated if: A close below 1.4048.
- 12. NVDA — short. At 186.64 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 13.8% behind the market and the monthly loss is 19.02%. It recovered 2.78% on Friday, but news over the weekend added a fresh uncertainty: the company opened an investigation into its chief executive over a relationship with a businesswoman whom intelligence agencies have described as a Chinese agent, and the stock fell 3.5% after the close. Momentum at 31 is close to oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 188.19-189.36 band, target 183.92. Invalidated if: A close above 194.21.
- 13. ASML — short. At 1,424.75 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 15.2% behind the market and the monthly loss is 19.39%. It recovered 5.02% on Friday, which created a better level for the sell. The price sits below the 200-day average by 8.2% and momentum is 35. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,438-1,449 band, target 1,401. Invalidated if: A close above 1,491.
- 14. AMD — short. At 449.04 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 21.8% behind the market and the monthly loss is 27.65%. It rebounded sharply by 11.04% on Friday, but its daily range is very high at 8.15%, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 456.36-461.85 band, target 436.23. Invalidated if: A close above 484.72.
- 15. GOOGL — short. At 284.78 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 14.3% behind the market and the price sits below the 200-day average by 13%. The monthly loss is 18.23% and momentum is 30. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 286.92-288.52 band, target 281.04. Invalidated if: A close above 295.19.
- 16. META — short. At 610.15 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 15.36% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 4.9%. Over the past month it is 10.1% behind the market and momentum is 37. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 614.98-618.61 band, target 601.69. Invalidated if: A close above 633.71.
- 17. TSM — short. At 375.44 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 12.3% behind the market and the monthly loss is 18.02%. It recovered 6.33% on Friday and the Taiwanese market rose as much as 6.7% yesterday; that offers a better level for the sell. Pepperstone's warning holds: this week the move is flow-driven and fundamentals will mean little. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 378.81-381.34 band, target 369.54. Invalidated if: A close above 391.88.
- 18. Silver — short. At 52.80 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and it is 56.5% below its one-year high. The weekly gain is 7.54%, but that is a reaction inside a monthly loss of 10.61%. Momentum is 38. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 53.09-53.32 band, target 52.28. Invalidated if: A close above 54.24.
- 19. Platinum — short. At 1,550.70 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and it is 45.6% below its one-year high. The weekly gain is 7.84% and momentum is 44; the recovery created a better level for the sell. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,557-1,562 band, target 1,538. Invalidated if: A close above 1,583.
- 20. Palladium — short. At 1,037.50 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and it is 52.2% below its one-year high. The weekly gain is 5.37% and momentum is 40. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,042-1,046 band, target 1,028. Invalidated if: A close above 1,061.
- 21. Gold — short. At 4,127.80 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the price sits below the 200-day average by 3.6%. The weekly gain is 5.87% and momentum is 47. Friday's payrolls figure of 165 thousand lifted the odds of a December rate rise to 80% and the dollar had its biggest daily gain in five months; that works against gold. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 4,130-4,143 band, target 4,082. Invalidated if: A close above 4,198.
- 22. Copper — short. At 6.3305 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the weekly loss is 1.98% and momentum is 36. In China producer inflation is 5.7%, a four-and-a-half-year high, while consumer inflation has eased to 0.7%; weak domestic demand keeps weighing on industrial metals. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 6.3465-6.3625 band, target 6.2876. Invalidated if: A close above 6.4294.
- 23. Coffee — short. At 280.15 cents with the trend down in every time frame; the price sits below the 200-day average by 10.4% and momentum is 39. The monthly loss is 3.08%. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 282.17-283.68 band, target 276.62. Invalidated if: A close above 289.98.
This page is for general information only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and it does not take account of any recipient's objectives, financial situation or needs. Levels and commentary reflect a view at a point in time and may change without notice. Past performance does not indicate future results. Trading in leveraged products including Forex, CFDs and cryptocurrencies carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors; you may lose more than your initial investment.