Trading Signals - 28 October 2026

26 trade ideas for 28 October 2026: 10 long and 16 short. Entry, stop and two targets are given for each, with the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

Today's framework

Wednesday 28 October 2026. The Fed decides this evening and the list is positioned around it. The chip side got a concrete support: SK Hynix said memory chips are sold out to 2029, that demand is twice supply, and that the shortage runs to 2030. In oil, a Houthi strike on a Saudi refinery keeps the supply worry alive and Brent is at 111 dollars.

Ten of the ideas are long and sixteen short. All are taken at the market except bitcoin, which waits for a confirmed close above the level it lost last week. The buy side is energy, the chip names and the cash-generating large caps; the sell side is the metals group and the currencies against the dollar.

Trade ideas

Entry is given as a band, or as the single level a conditional idea needs. The note under the table gives the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

• 1. BTC — long. At 80,922 dollars and a 1.27% rise yesterday took it to 81,300; the level that acted as support for weeks and broke last week is now being tested as resistance. The overnight low of 80,621 held above the 80,000 threshold and the price sits above the 200-day average by 6.7%. The Fed decides this evening and the direction becomes clear after that. The direction is up but the entry depends on confirmation; chasing a buy before 81,300 breaks is expensive ahead of the Fed. Action: buy if a close above 81,300 arrives; the target beyond 81,300 is 82,500. Invalidated if: A close below 80,621.
• 2. ETH — short. At 2,352.68 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 12.50% and it is 6% behind bitcoin over the past month. It rose 1.67% yesterday, which created a better level for the sell. Momentum is 38. Action: sell in the 2,358-2,372 band, target 2,340.78. Invalidated if: A close above 2,369.
• 3. TSLA — long. At 407.46 dollars with the price making successively higher highs and higher lows; over the past month it returned 14.7% more than the market and the weekly gain is 9.03%. It rose 4.04% yesterday and momentum is strong at 65. After SpaceX's Apollo agreement, confidence in funding for Musk's companies keeps being priced in. Action: buy in the 405-409 band, target 408.45. Invalidated if: A close below 395.25.
• 4. AAPL — long. At 347.10 dollars with the price holding its rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 4.7% ahead of the market and only 1.3% below its one-year high. It rose 0.93% yesterday and momentum is 61. With the funding of artificial intelligence spending under debate, this company is not on the borrowing side. Action: buy in the 346-348 band, target 347.78. Invalidated if: A close below 342.39.
• 5. XOM — long. At 179.91 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 10.8% ahead of the market and the monthly gain is 10.70%. It fell 2.51% yesterday and that pullback improved the entry. The Houthi strike on a Saudi refinery keeps the supply worry alive and Brent is at 111 dollars. Action: buy in the 179.50-180.80 band, target 184.88. Invalidated if: A close below 179.77.
• 6. CVX — long. At 228.23 dollars with the price holding its rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 10.9% ahead of the market and the monthly gain is 10.59%. It pulled back 1.63% yesterday; the same thesis as Exxon and the same entry advantage. Action: buy in the 227.80-229.50 band, target 232.27. Invalidated if: A close below 227.63.
• 7. WTI — long. At 101.57 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; the monthly gain is 9.69% and it rose 1.67% yesterday. The Houthi strike on a Saudi refinery raised the supply worry. The spread to Brent is 9.70 dollars. Action: buy in the 101-102 band, target 102.82. Invalidated if: A close below 99.44.
• 8. Brent Crude — long. At 111.29 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; the monthly gain is 5.71% and the weekly 2.30%. It pulled back 2.27% yesterday. The Houthi attacks continue and traffic through Hormuz keeps running below normal. Action: buy in the 110.80-111.40 band, target 111.38. Invalidated if: A close below 109.38.
• 9. TSM — long. At 436.87 dollars and up 2.95% yesterday; the weekly gain is 2.77% and momentum is 51. SK Hynix's statement supports this whole side: memory chips are sold out to 2029, demand is twice supply, and the shortage is said to run to 2030. The price sits above the 200-day average by 11.1%. Action: buy in the 434-438 band, target 438.58. Invalidated if: A close below 426.
• 10. AMD — long. At 560.26 dollars and with 5.45% yesterday it was among the strongest stocks in the market; the weekly gain is 4.77% and momentum is 50. SK Hynix's statement on the memory shortage showed that chip demand is intact. The structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy in the 557-562 band, target 563.92. Invalidated if: A close below 538.50.
• 11. DAX — long. At 25,590.77 and up 0.71% yesterday; the price is in a rising structure and momentum is 54. The weekly gain is 1.13%. The ECB decides on Thursday, so the size is small. Action: small buy in the 25,560-25,620 band, target 25,647. Invalidated if: A close below 25,340.
• 12. META — short. At 620.19 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 16.6% behind the market and the weekly loss is 10.67%. It fell 1.64% yesterday and momentum is 32. After the announcement of the 95 billion dollar capital raise, volume rose to two and a half times the average; the record cost of insuring its debt keeps the pressure on. Action: sell in the 622-630 band, target 619.21. Invalidated if: A close above 628.46.
• 13. ASML — short. At 1,635.57 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 11.3% behind the market and the monthly loss is 7.55%. It rose 2.94% yesterday, which created a better level for the sell. SK Hynix's positive statement helps the memory side, but equipment orders keep being affected by the funding bottleneck at smaller companies. Action: sell in the 1,638-1,650 band, target 1,598.66. Invalidated if: A close above 1,652.
• 14. Silver — short. At 53.965 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and it is 55.5% below its one-year high. The monthly loss is 11.85% and momentum is 33. Action: sell in the 54.10-54.55 band, target 53.65. Invalidated if: A close above 55.20.
• 15. Platinum — short. At 1,535.10 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and the weekly loss is 6.77%. It recovered after touching 1,494 yesterday, which offers a better level for the sell. Momentum is 31. Action: sell in the 1,538-1,552 band, target 1,494. Invalidated if: A close above 1,565.
• 16. Palladium — short. At 1,025.50 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and the monthly loss is 15.23%. Momentum at 25 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell in the 1,028-1,040 band, target 1,023.70. Invalidated if: A close above 1,055.
• 17. Gold — short. At 4,047.60 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and it fell 0.66% yesterday. Momentum is 39 and the price sits below the 200-day average by 6%. Even ahead of the Fed decision the safe-haven bid is not appearing. Action: sell in the 4,052-4,075 band, target 4,045.40. Invalidated if: A close above 4,084.
• 18. SOL — short. At 101.88 dollars and the price has moved into a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 16.48% and it is 10.3% behind bitcoin over the past month. It rose 1.78% yesterday but keeps staying just above the 100 threshold. Action: sell in the 102-103 band, target 101.04. Invalidated if: A close above 102.44.
• 19. XRP — short. At 1.3264 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 12.55% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 2%. It rose 2% yesterday and touched 1.3444, which offers a better level for the sell. Action: sell in the 1.3300-1.3430 band, target 1.3254. Invalidated if: A close above 1.3450.
• 20. AVAX — short. At 9.009 dollars and 17.1% behind bitcoin over the past month; the monthly loss is 17.39% and the weekly 7.65%. It rose 2.75% yesterday. Momentum is 37. Action: sell in the 9.03-9.10 band, target 8.941. Invalidated if: A close above 9.15.
• 21. ADA — short. At 0.2062 dollars and 17% behind bitcoin over the past month; the monthly loss is 19.17% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 9.5%. Momentum is 37. Action: sell in the 0.2068-0.2090 band, target 0.2052. Invalidated if: A close above 0.2100.
• 22. CAC 40 — short. At 7,887.14 and the price is in a downtrend; it sits below the 200-day average by 3.3% and the monthly loss is 2.37%. It rose 0.51% yesterday, which created a better level for the sell. The ECB decides on Thursday. Action: sell in the 7,892-7,908 band, target 7,810.92. Invalidated if: A close above 7,909.74.
• 23. Coffee — short. At 294.25 cents and the price is in a downtrend; the weekly loss is 5.48% and momentum is 44. The price sits below the 200-day average by 6.6% and it touched 289.05 yesterday. Action: sell in the 295-300 band, target 289.05. Invalidated if: A close above 304.90.
• 24. EURUSD — short. At 1.1122 with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the monthly loss is 2.25%. It fell 0.46% yesterday and momentum at 30 is close to oversold, so the size is small. The ECB decides on Thursday. Action: small sell in the 1.1128-1.1150 band, target 1.1120. Invalidated if: A close above 1.1178.
• 25. GBPUSD — short. At 1.3291 and the price has moved into a falling high-low structure; it fell 0.40% yesterday and sits below the 200-day average. Momentum is mid-range at 52. Action: sell in the 1.3300-1.3345 band, target 1.3289. Invalidated if: A close above 1.3350.
• 26. CHFJPY — short. At 190.10 and the price is in a downtrend; it sits below the 200-day average by 2.6% and the weekly loss is 0.82%. The Bank of Japan decides on Friday. Action: small sell in the 190.15-190.45 band, target 190.03. Invalidated if: A close above 190.65.

This page is for general information only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and it does not take account of any recipient's objectives, financial situation or needs. Levels and commentary reflect a view at a point in time and may change without notice. Past performance does not indicate future results. Trading in leveraged products including Forex, CFDs and cryptocurrencies carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors; you may lose more than your initial investment.