Trading Signals - 29 October 2026

26 trade ideas for 29 October 2026: 7 long and 19 short. Entry, stop and two targets are given for each, with the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

Today's framework

Thursday 29 October 2026. Cash flow is the dividing line. Microsoft generated 19 billion dollars of free cash after its results and rose 3% after the close; Alphabet burned 9.1 billion, fell 10% and lost 396 billion dollars of market value. In chips, Samsung's record profit was not enough and it still fell 5-6%. The European Central Bank decides today and US inflation data follows.

Seven of the ideas are long and nineteen short. Seven are taken at the market; the rest wait for an upward reaction before the sell is taken. The buy side is energy and the companies that fund their spending from their own cash.

Trade ideas

Entry is given as a band, or as the single level a conditional idea needs. The note under the table gives the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

• 1. BTC — short. At 79,940 dollars and the 80,000 threshold was lost for a third time this week; a 1.23% fall yesterday took it to 79,710 and 356 million dollars of positions were liquidated, 205 million of them bets on a rise. The selling did not come from crypto; it began with the technology weakness in Asia after Samsung. The price sits above the 200-day average by 5.4%, so the long-term structure is intact, but every recovery meets selling in the 81,300 area. The direction is down in the short term; an upward reaction counts as a selling opportunity. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 80,400-81,000 band, target 79,710. Invalidated if: A close above 81,830.
• 2. ETH — short. At 2,309.06 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 14.12% and it fell 1.93% yesterday. The price is left above the 200-day average by only 0.2%, so the long-term support is being tested too. Momentum is 39. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 2,315-2,335 band, target 2,293.44. Invalidated if: A close above 2,365.
• 3. XOM — long. At 182.02 dollars with the price making successively higher highs and higher lows; over the past month it returned 10.5% more than the market and the monthly gain is 12.81%. It rose 1.17% yesterday and is only 1.6% below its one-year high. It sits on the winning side of the cash-flow debate: energy companies fund their spending from their own cash. Action: buy in the 181-182.50 band, target 183.65. Invalidated if: A close below 178.80.
• 4. CVX — long. At 229.20 dollars with the price holding its rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 10.9% ahead of the market and the monthly gain is 12.14%. It is within 2.1% of its one-year high and momentum is 67. The same thesis as Exxon. Action: buy in the 228.50-229.80 band, target 231.56. Invalidated if: A close below 226.50.
• 5. AAPL — long. At 343.83 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 2% ahead of the market and only 2.3% below its one-year high. It pulled back 0.94% yesterday, which improved the entry. It is on the right side of the cash-flow divide: one of the companies that covers its spending from its own cash. Action: buy in the 343-344.50 band, target 347.18. Invalidated if: A close below 341.
• 6. Brent Crude — long. At 110.57 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; the monthly gain is 7.78% and momentum is 68. It fell 4.12% yesterday, a pullback that improved the entry markedly, and the price sits above the 200-day average by 20.7%. Action: buy on a pullback into the 110-110.80 band, target 110.99. Invalidated if: A close below 109.70.
• 7. WTI — long. At 101.68 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; the monthly gain is 13.76% and the weekly 4.66%. The price sits above the 200-day average by 19.3% and is holding above 100 dollars. Action: buy in the 101.20-101.90 band, target 102.31. Invalidated if: A close below 100.90.
• 8. MSFT — long. At 531.01 dollars and over the past month it is 2.3% ahead of the market; after its results yesterday it generated 19 billion dollars of free cash and rose 3% after the close. The price sits above the 200-day average by 14.9%. It is the clearest winner of the day's main theme. The structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy in the 530-532 band, target 535. Invalidated if: A close below 526. It is not traded on MT5.
• 9. TSLA — long. At 404.22 dollars and over the past month it returned 12.6% more than the market; the monthly gain is 14.56% and momentum is 64. It pulled back 0.80% yesterday. Confidence in funding for Musk's companies keeps being priced in. The structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy in the 403-405 band, target 410.85. Invalidated if: A close below 397.
• 10. GOOGL — short. At 324.89 dollars with the price making successively lower highs and lower lows; after its results yesterday it burned 9.1 billion dollars of cash and the stock fell 10%, wiping out 396 billion dollars of market value. The company reported negative cash flow for the second time in the 22 years it has been public, and analysts suspect this quarter will be worse. Over the past month it is 6.7% behind the market. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 325-328 band, target 322.66. Invalidated if: A close above 331.
• 11. ASML — short. At 1,662.85 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 9.2% behind the market and the monthly loss is 9.23%. It rose 1.67% yesterday, which created a better level for the sell. Samsung postponing its capital-return decision to January shows the uncertainty in equipment orders continues. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,665-1,680 band, target 1,647.81. Invalidated if: A close above 1,690.
• 12. TSM — short. At 439.51 dollars and the price has moved into a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 4.8% behind the market and the monthly loss is 3.81%. It rose 0.60% yesterday. Samsung falling 5-6% despite a record profit showed that on the chip side a record profit is no longer enough. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 440-444 band, target 436.84. Invalidated if: A close above 448.
• 13. META — short. At 612.49 dollars and 16.6% behind the market over the past month; the monthly loss is 17.10% and momentum is 31. It fell 1.24% yesterday and volume was 62% above average. It is on the losing side of the cash-flow divide. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 614-620 band, target 609. Invalidated if: A close above 626.
• 14. SOL — short. At 99.84 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; it has dropped below the 100 threshold and the monthly loss is 16.02%. It fell 2.12% yesterday and touched 99.26. Over the past month it is 6.1% behind bitcoin. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 100.20-101.20 band, target 99.26. Invalidated if: A close above 102.60.
• 15. XRP — short. At 1.2912 dollars and a 2.51% fall yesterday took it to 1.2867; the monthly loss is 13.74% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 4.4%. The structure is mixed but the relative performance is weak. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1.2980-1.3100 band, target 1.2867. Invalidated if: A close above 1.3280.
• 16. AVAX — short. At 8.652 dollars and 10.2% behind bitcoin over the past month; the monthly loss is 18.50% and a 3.62% fall yesterday made it the weakest in crypto. It touched 8.559 and the price has moved below the 200-day average by 1.5%. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 8.70-8.82 band, target 8.559. Invalidated if: A close above 9.05.
• 17. ADA — short. At 0.1975 dollars and 10.8% behind bitcoin over the past month; it fell 4.08% yesterday and touched 0.1956. The monthly loss is 20.14% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 13%. Momentum is 37. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 0.1990-0.2030 band, target 0.1956. Invalidated if: A close above 0.2070.
• 18. Silver — short. At 52.92 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the monthly loss is 12.77%. It is 56.4% below its one-year high and touched 52.655 yesterday. Momentum is 31. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 53.10-53.60 band, target 52.655. Invalidated if: A close above 54.50.
• 19. Platinum — short. At 1,514.10 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and the monthly loss is 9.88%. A 2.18% fall yesterday took it to 1,511.80 and it is 46.9% below its one-year high. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,518-1,535 band, target 1,511.80. Invalidated if: A close above 1,552.
• 20. Palladium — short. At 1,001 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and the monthly loss is 16.69%. It touched 998 yesterday, testing below the 1,000 threshold, and it is 53.9% below its one-year high. Momentum at 23 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 1,005-1,020 band, target 998. Invalidated if: A close above 1,035.
• 21. Gold — short. At 4,042.70 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the monthly loss is 3.28%. The price sits below the 200-day average by 6.1% and momentum is 37. The European Central Bank decides today and US inflation data follows, but the safe-haven bid has not appeared for weeks. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 4,048-4,070 band, target 4,033.40. Invalidated if: A close above 4,090.
• 22. Coffee — short. At 286.35 cents and the price is in a downtrend; the weekly loss is 9.43% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 9%. It touched 284.05 yesterday and momentum is 40. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 288-293 band, target 284.05. Invalidated if: A close above 299.
• 23. CAC 40 — short. At 7,886.96 and the price is in a downtrend; it sits below the 200-day average by 3.3% and the monthly loss is 1.85%. It closed flat yesterday and touched 7,918.74. The European Central Bank decides today, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 7,895-7,915 band, target 7,870.75. Invalidated if: A close above 7,930.
• 24. EURUSD — short. At 1.1142 with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the monthly loss is 2.03%. Momentum is oversold at 26, so the size is small. The European Central Bank decides today and the rate is expected to be held. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 1.1150-1.1165 band, target 1.1135. Invalidated if: A close above 1.1180.
• 25. GBPUSD — short. At 1.3322 with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and momentum is 48. The price sits just below the 200-day average. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1.3330-1.3350 band, target 1.3304. Invalidated if: A close above 1.3370.
• 26. CHFJPY — short. At 190.56 and the price is in a downtrend; it sits below the 200-day average by 2.4% and momentum is 47. The Bank of Japan decides tomorrow, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 190.62-190.75 band, target 190.26. Invalidated if: A close above 190.90.

This page is for general information only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and it does not take account of any recipient's objectives, financial situation or needs. Levels and commentary reflect a view at a point in time and may change without notice. Past performance does not indicate future results. Trading in leveraged products including Forex, CFDs and cryptocurrencies carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors; you may lose more than your initial investment.