Trading Signals - 30 October 2026

16 trade ideas for 30 October 2026: 7 long and 9 short. Entry, stop and two targets are given for each, with the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

Today's framework

Friday 30 October 2026. Two shocks are running at once. In crypto, 6.3 billion dollars were stolen from Binance, withdrawals were halted and institutional money started leaving the other exchanges too; bitcoin fell to a six-week low. In equities, Alphabet lost 12.64% and Amazon 7%, while energy and the cash-generating names were spared.

Seven of the ideas are long and nine short. Seven are taken at the market; the rest wait for an upward reaction before the sell is taken, and the two crypto ideas are kept to quarter size because the event flow is still unresolved.

Trade ideas

Entry is given as a band, or as the single level a conditional idea needs. The note under the table gives the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

• 1. BTC — short. At 78,614 dollars after touching 76,500 overnight, a six-week low; over 24 hours 1.5 billion dollars of positions were liquidated. There is a single cause: 6.3 billion dollars were stolen from Binance and withdrawals were halted, and institutional investors started pulling money out of the other exchanges too. The 18,270 bitcoin in the attacker's hands cannot be frozen and sit untouched across 19 wallets. Standard Chartered says no new floor forms until the assets are resolved. The direction is down, but with the event flow unresolved the size is a quarter. Action: sell at quarter size on an upward reaction into the 79,300-80,200 band, target 76,500. Invalidated if: A close above 81,100.
• 2. ETH — short. At 2,246.90 dollars with the price making successively lower highs and lower lows; it touched 2,174 overnight and 358 million dollars of positions were liquidated. The monthly loss is 16.10% and momentum is oversold at 31. Exchange risk hits harder here than it does bitcoin because the ether futures market is thinner. Action: sell at quarter size on an upward reaction into the 2,270-2,310 band, target 2,174. Invalidated if: A close above 2,360.
• 3. XOM — long. At 183.29 dollars with the price making successively higher highs and higher lows; over the past month it returned 11.1% more than the market and it is only 0.9% below its one-year high. It reports today and Brent is at 112 dollars; it sits on the winning side of the cash-generation debate. Momentum is 69. Action: buy in the 182.50-183.80 band, target 184.39. Invalidated if: A close below 180.50.
• 4. CVX — long. At 231.46 dollars with the price holding its rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 11% ahead of the market and 1.1% below its one-year high. It reports today. It rose 0.99% yesterday and was spared the technology selling. Action: buy in the 230.80-232 band, target 232.95. Invalidated if: A close below 228.50.
• 5. AAPL — long. At 348.91 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 4.9% ahead of the market and only 0.8% below its one-year high. It rose 1.48% yesterday, decoupling while Amazon fell 7% and Alphabet 12.6%. It keeps staying outside the cash-generation debate. Action: buy in the 348-349.50 band, target 351.43. Invalidated if: A close below 345.50.
• 6. Brent Crude — long. At 112.26 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; the monthly gain is 8.43% and the price sits above the 200-day average by 22.3%. It pulled back 2.28% yesterday, which improved the entry, and momentum is 66. Action: buy in the 111.50-112.50 band, target 114.07. Invalidated if: A close below 110.80.
• 7. WTI — long. At 103.26 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; it rose 1.24% yesterday and the monthly gain is 14.20%. The price sits above the 200-day average by 20.9%. The spread to Brent is 9 dollars. Action: buy in the 102.80-103.60 band, target 104.99. Invalidated if: A close below 102.20.
• 8. TSLA — long. At 403.30 dollars and over the past month it returned 13.1% more than the market; the weekly gain is 7.67% and momentum is 63. It was flat yesterday and was spared the technology selling. The structure is mixed, so the size is small. Action: small buy in the 402-404 band, target 406.98. Invalidated if: A close below 400.
• 9. DAX — long. At 26,039.68 and a 1.31% rise yesterday set a new high; the weekly gain is 2.63% and momentum is 61. The price is in a rising structure and Europe keeps being spared the technology selling in the United States. German and French growth and inflation data come today, so the size is small. Action: small buy in the 25,950-26,060 band, target 26,106. Invalidated if: A close below 25,720.
• 10. GOOGL — short. At 283.82 dollars and a 12.64% fall yesterday wiped out 500 billion dollars of value; the price is making successively lower highs and lower lows and over the past month it is 16.7% behind the market. Volume was four and a half times the average and momentum at 22 is deep in oversold. The fall is so sharp that the risk of a reaction is high, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 286-291 band, target 280.36. Invalidated if: A close above 296.
• 11. Silver — short. At 50.98 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the monthly loss is 15.17%. A 2.32% fall yesterday took it to 50.87 and it is 58% below its one-year high. Momentum is 28. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 51.30-51.90 band, target 50.87. Invalidated if: A close above 52.40.
• 12. Platinum — short. At 1,448.90 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; a 3.07% fall yesterday took it to 1,448 and the monthly loss is 14.89%. It is 49.2% below its one-year high and momentum is 28. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,455-1,478 band, target 1,448. Invalidated if: A close above 1,500.
• 13. Palladium — short. At 982 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; it has dropped below the 1,000 threshold and touched 981 yesterday. The monthly loss is 18.26% and it is 54.7% below its one-year high. Momentum at 22 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 986-998 band, target 981. Invalidated if: A close above 1,012.
• 14. Gold — short. At 3,997.40 dollars after dropping below the 4,000 threshold; the price is in a falling high-low structure and the trend is down in every time frame. A 0.84% fall yesterday took it to 3,996.70 and momentum is 36. Even with the largest theft in history taking place on the crypto side, the safe-haven bid did not appear; that shows how strong the downward structure is. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 4,005-4,030 band, target 3,996.70. Invalidated if: A close above 4,055.
• 15. Natural Gas — short. At 2.896 dollars and the price has entered a downtrend; it fell 1.90% yesterday and sits below the 200-day average by 5.9%. The four-day jump has been given back and momentum is 50. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 2.905-2.925 band, target 2.891. Invalidated if: A close above 2.960.
• 16. Copper — short. At 6.552 dollars and the price has moved into a falling high-low structure; it fell 0.44% yesterday and momentum is 51. The trend is still up but the price is below the past month's average; China heading for its largest monthly loss in a decade weighs on industrial metals. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 6.565-6.595 band, target 6.539. Invalidated if: A close above 6.640.

This page is for general information only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and it does not take account of any recipient's objectives, financial situation or needs. Levels and commentary reflect a view at a point in time and may change without notice. Past performance does not indicate future results. Trading in leveraged products including Forex, CFDs and cryptocurrencies carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors; you may lose more than your initial investment.