Trading Signals - 3 November 2026

22 trade ideas for 3 November 2026: 4 long and 18 short. Entry, stop and two targets are given for each, with the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

Today's framework

Tuesday 3 November 2026. It is election day in the United States and the list is positioned defensively around it. The Nasdaq is 10.75% below its high, technically in correction territory, and the chip index fell 12% in three days. In crypto, Binance has spent half its emergency fund and customers withdrew a net 4.72 billion dollars.

Four of the ideas are long and eighteen short. Four are taken at the market and two on a pullback; the rest wait for an upward reaction before the sell is taken. The buy side is only energy, Tesla and the DAX.

Trade ideas

Entry is given as a band, or as the single level a conditional idea needs. The note under the table gives the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.

• 1. BTC — short. At 76,605 dollars with the price making successively lower highs and lower lows; the monthly loss is 9.61% and it touched 76,542 overnight. Staying below 77,000 matters, because the 200-day average lies beneath and the price is only 0.9% away from it. Binance has spent half its emergency fund; the SAFU wallet has fallen from 15,000 bitcoin to 7,500 and customers withdrew a net 4.72 billion dollars. Today is election day, and volatility on the 4 November options has jumped to 43.5%. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 77,000-77,600 band, target 76,541. Invalidated if: A close above 78,500.
• 2. ETH — short. At 2,247.51 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 16.36% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 2.2%. Momentum is 33 and it touched 2,244.70 overnight. The debate over exchange confidence continues. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 2,258-2,280 band, target 2,237.38. Invalidated if: A close above 2,320.
• 3. TSLA — long. At 403.82 dollars with the price making successively higher highs and higher lows; over the past month it returned 9.9% more than the market and it rose 1% yesterday. Staying strong with momentum at 62 while the Nasdaq is in correction territory is notable. The monthly gain is 8.97%. Action: buy in the 402-405 band, target 414.23. Invalidated if: A close below 397.
• 4. XOM — long. At 179.67 dollars with the price holding its rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 12.9% ahead of the market and the monthly gain is 9.55%. It fell 4.05% yesterday because Brent gave back more than 7% on Monday; that pullback improved the entry markedly and momentum has come down to 57. Action: buy in the 179.20-180.50 band, target 184.59. Invalidated if: A close below 177.50.
• 5. CVX — long. At 227.77 dollars with the price in a rising high-low structure; over the past month it is 13.7% ahead of the market and the monthly gain is 10.20%. It pulled back 3.29% yesterday, the same cause as Exxon and the same entry advantage. Action: buy in the 227.30-228.60 band, target 233.25. Invalidated if: A close below 225.
• 6. DAX — long. At 25,981.09 and up 0.63% yesterday; the price is in a rising structure and momentum is 59. The weekly gain is 2.24% and Europe keeps being spared the selling in the United States. But the US election is today, so the size is small. Action: small buy in the 25,930-26,010 band, target 26,026. Invalidated if: A close below 25,741.
• 7. NVDA — short. At 202.06 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the weekly loss is 6.45% and the monthly 13.63%. The price has moved below the 200-day average by 1.7% and momentum is 33. The chip index fell 12% in three days. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 204-208 band, target 201.66. Invalidated if: A close above 212.
• 8. TSM — short. At 398.63 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 15.4% behind the market and the monthly loss is 15.68%. It fell 1.85% yesterday and momentum is 36. The Taiwanese market is 13.3% below its high. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 402-410 band, target 398.29. Invalidated if: A close above 418.
• 9. ASML — short. At 1,526.14 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; over the past month it is 15.3% behind the market and the monthly loss is 18.16%. The price has moved below the 200-day average and momentum is 36. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,535-1,570 band, target 1,518. Invalidated if: A close above 1,605.
• 10. GOOGL — short. At 278.99 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the weekly loss is 11.93% and over the past month it is 17% behind the market. Momentum at 21 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 281-286 band, target 278.80. Invalidated if: A close above 291.
• 11. Nasdaq 100 — short. At 27,989.82 and 10.75% below its high, technically in correction territory; it fell 1.39% yesterday and the monthly loss is 9.15%. Momentum at 32 has approached oversold and the price has moved just below the 200-day average. But today is election day and the options market is pricing a short burst of volatility rather than a lasting rise, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 28,150-28,450 band, target 27,967. Invalidated if: A close above 28,760.
• 12. Gold — short. At 3,929.10 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and it fell 1.02% yesterday. Momentum is 36 and the price sits below the 200-day average by 8.5%. Even on election day the safe-haven bid is not appearing. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 3,940-3,975 band, target 3,926.50. Invalidated if: A close above 4,010.
• 13. Silver — short. At 49.275 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down in every time frame and the weekly loss is 8.93%. It is 59.4% below its one-year high and it fell 2.85% yesterday. Momentum at 30 is close to oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 49.50-50.20 band, target 49.225. Invalidated if: A close above 51.00.
• 14. Platinum — short. At 1,428.70 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and the weekly loss is 7.03%. It is 49.9% below its one-year high and momentum is 28. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1,435-1,455 band, target 1,426.20. Invalidated if: A close above 1,480.
• 15. Palladium — short. At 944.50 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and the weekly loss is 9.87%. It is 56.5% below its one-year high and it touched 943 overnight. Momentum at 19 is very deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 950-965 band, target 943. Invalidated if: A close above 985.
• 16. Copper — short. At 6.404 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; it fell 2.13% yesterday and momentum is 49. The price is below the past month's average and the weakness on the Chinese side continues. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 6.425-6.470 band, target 6.401. Invalidated if: A close above 6.530.
• 17. Natural Gas — short. At 2.877 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and the price sits below the 200-day average by 6.4%. The weekly gain is 10.57% but that jump is being given back and momentum is 46. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 2.885-2.905 band, target 2.851. Invalidated if: A close above 2.950.
• 18. SOL — short. At 91.56 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 23.46% and the weekly 9.30%. The price has moved below the 200-day average by 5% and momentum at 26 is deep in oversold, so the size is small. Action: small sell on an upward reaction into the 92.30-93.50 band, target 90.87. Invalidated if: A close above 95.20.
• 19. XRP — short. At 1.2498 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 15.92% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 7%. Momentum is 37 and the weekly loss is 4.54%. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1.2550-1.2640 band, target 1.2453. Invalidated if: A close above 1.2720.
• 20. AVAX — short. At 8.308 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 25.32% and over the past month it is 11.1% behind bitcoin. It fell 3.67% yesterday and momentum is 35. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 8.37-8.47 band, target 8.277. Invalidated if: A close above 8.70.
• 21. ADA — short. At 0.1875 dollars with the price in a falling high-low structure; the monthly loss is 23.09% and the price sits below the 200-day average by 16.5%. Over the past month it is 13.5% behind bitcoin and momentum is 31. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 0.1885-0.1910 band, target 0.1862. Invalidated if: A close above 0.1950.
• 22. EURUSD — short. At 1.1197 with the price in a falling high-low structure; the trend is down and momentum is 35. It rose 0.36% yesterday but keeps staying close to a 17-month low. Action: sell on an upward reaction into the 1.1205-1.1225 band, target 1.1181. Invalidated if: A close above 1.1245.

This page is for general information only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and it does not take account of any recipient's objectives, financial situation or needs. Levels and commentary reflect a view at a point in time and may change without notice. Past performance does not indicate future results. Trading in leveraged products including Forex, CFDs and cryptocurrencies carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors; you may lose more than your initial investment.